@NYG -2.5 / GB +9 / @DAL -9 / @CAR -7.5 / CLE +2 / CHI +3 / OAK -1 / JAX -3 / KC +6 / MIA +2.5 / @SF +11 / PHI +3.5 / @PIT -9
Chris is 56-49-1 on the season (8-5 this week)
Mark is 67-48 on the season (8-6 this week)
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Meta
My first time posting my plays to this site (59-42) on the season, My record is documented here: http://contest.blastpromo.com/cgi-bin/vip-fbspr05_bgd/portfolio.cgi (sorry is the link don’t work, let me know)
Carolina -7.5 Minnesota
Cincinnati -8.5 Green Bay
Arizona +8.5 Dallas
***Houston -2.5 Cleveland
New Orleans -2.5 Miami
New York G. -2.5 Washington
St. Louis +3.5 J-Ville
Oakland +1.5 Tennessee
Chicago +2.5 Detroit
San Diego -5.5 Kansas City
Philadelphia +3.5 Denver
San Francisco +11.5 T.B.
New England -8.5 Buffalo
***Pittsburgh -9.5 Baltimore MNF (Predicted score: Pitt 23-9)
Best Bets: Lay the points with Houston and Pittsburgh.
GL to all…
Mark
NICE!!! I’ve been waiting for someone else to get in on this.
Mark – Houston? Is this a ‘got to happen sometime’ pick?
FYI – I don’t pick the NE game…too much drama for me. When the Pats win the game, I’m happy. Needing them to cover a spread would throw the system into chaos. I’d probably end up in the loony bin or worse.
Loving that we get Giants-Skins AND Phily-Denver today on Fox…oh yea, the ladies are saying…’DAMN YOU NFL SCHEDULING!’
I think Vegas knows something we don’t when they put a team that hasn’t won as a favorite, almost baiting the public to take Cleveland.
Ah, gamblers logic. How about this theory I had last night…with so many good teams on the road this week, knowing that serious folk who pick every week track how many home teams/favorites they pick – w/ that game probably at the end of the list, maybe they figured people would go with Houston to even out the balance of their picks for the week since so many away picks looked good this week?
I settled on Cleveland very late last night using this logic. The spreads were insane this week when you compare them with weeks prior. Dallas-Arizona had me stumped the worst. Too many points, but how can I take Arizona vs. a real team after the way Dallas lost to Seattle?
Mark, check out this post I put up on Bledsoe about a minute after he threw that pick:
http://deadissue.com/archives/2005/10/23/bledsoe-needs-to-retire/
8-5 on the week, going into tonight with Pittsburgh, who I think covers running away. Actually I win my Survivor Pool for $160 if Pitt wins as the other guy lost yesterday with TB.
Originally, I liked almost all favorites this week and had to really look deep into the match-ups to find underdogs that I liked.
The spreads were really high, which can equal a good week if you do your homework. Your ‘gambler’s logic’ on the Houston game beat out my own. I’m usually a sucker for a 2.5 spread, but Houston is pathetic.
About 5 of my losses, maybe even 6 have been picking against Denver. Taking Philly this week was a classic example of the wrong choice I’ve made week to week with Denver. I end the preceding week thinking, ‘got to get smart with Denver’ – but then the spread locks in and I’m suddenly convinced that this is the week. I’m sure there are bettors out there who have done the same thing with Dallas this year.
Something to look at in the second half of the season is the fringe teams, how they play on the road. I’m expecting some big spreads in future weeks that look ugly as hell, but are dead on. The flip side of that, bad teams at home (like SF +11 this week) will be given little respect.
Good week overall…8-5 is still +3 if you were betting (minus the commissions).
I’m very shocked Baltimore kept it close. I won my pool for $160, so I was fortunate. (8-6) is still a small profit but it’s frustrating when you start (8-4) and drop the two late games on home favorites who really should’ve won by double-digits had they not decided to play to their opponents’ level.
On the season: (T= My place in the standings overall in the Contest, the first place guy is 74-41)
Week 8: 8-6 67-48 T17 +10
Week 7: 6-7 59-42 T27 -8
Week 6: 9-5 53-35 T19 +7
Week 5: 8-6 44-30 T26 +12
Week 4: 10-4 36-24 T38 +67
Week 3: 10-4 26-20 T105 +430
Week 2: 9-7 16-16 T535 +432
Week 1: 7-9 7-9 T967
Prime time does funny things to a team sometimes!
I’ve missed so much of the season already but I am happy to see my Seahawks at 5-2. When the Seahawks win more games than they lose it’s a time to celebrate.
Right now I cannot decide whether I dislike the colts or the 72 Dolphins more. I would hate to see the Colts go undefeated, but it would be nice to see the 72 Dolphins have to keep their champaign and pie holes corked for the whole year. Yeah, I think I dislike the 72 Dolphins more, I hope the Colts go undefeated. I also have to hope the Broncos go far into the playoffs as it keeps people off the slopes, thus mre room for me. Being a sports fan is tough.
Right, didn’t know you were a Seahawks fan. Hasselbeck got screwed last year. I don’t know if they could have beat Philly, but if a 3rd of those dropped balls are caught by Jackson, Ingram and the rest of the butterfingers squad, they get to the conference championship last year.
How they play on the road in the second half will tell the story. Because they’re very tough at home right now.
Colts will not go unbeaten, let alone beat the Pats this upcoming Monday. Pats got their number, winning the last 6 meetings, don’t buy too much into this 7-0 start. They will go 12-4 or maybe 13-3. Anyone who’s followed the NFL since Manning’s debut knows how these Manning/Harrison/James Colts break down the 2nd half of the year religously. Manning, like Marino, will never get a Superbowl ring.
Pats win 28-25.
Colts have a better defense this year so they may be able to play the Pats better. I am really dislike the colts but this may be their year. If it has to be the colts year at least let it mess with the 72 Dolphins.
Right, didn’t know you were a Seahawks fan.
When I saw a football game on a TV from a bad vantage point such as in a restaurant or bar you could always tell a Seahawks game when the QB got sacked in the first few minutes of the game. It was a telltale sign that confirmed the hawks were on the field.
With all these teams that used to suck going to the world series and superbowl, I am thinking that the Seahawks are due for a bowl run. But they first have to win more games than they lose so if the Colts can do it then the Hawks can too :- )
I don’t think the Dolphins record is in jeopardy. Indy has done well in recent drafts on the defensive side of the ball…their safties, Doss and Sanders are really good. It’s the addition of an effective defensive tackle that’s made it work for them. Whereas two years ago they were taking the field with glass jaws up the middle, now they’re able to keep a team under 100 yards rushing. Not ANY team mind you, as their schedule to this point has been anything but scary.
I don’t think there’s been an Indy-Pats game in the past three years where the talkers haven’t found a reason to pick Indy…usually injuries tip the scales according to them, and that’s the case this time around. Every dog has its day.
First Pats game I ever went to – funny coincidence, as my father also took my brother and ‘Mark’, his younger brother Ryan – we were really young, and the Pats lost to the Seahawks. The port-o-pottys were on fire as we drove out.
Seattle’s got 5 road games left. If they can win 3 of them, they’re in the playoffs. If they win 4 of them, they might be ready to go deep in the playoffs.
Seahawks may be the class of the NFC, but right now that is like being the valdictorian of summer school.
Yea…Philly w/ Trotter and Owens healthy is a tough game almost every week, Carolina is scary. Another team will emerge…either Seattle, Tampa, NY or Dallas.
Ny giants are surprisingly good, it was nice of the Broncos to help boost their confidence. Tampa needs a quarterback.
Philly seems to be getting bit by the cambells soup curse. Look at what happens to anyone who does the Cambells commercials. Tyrel davis, Kurt warner, Reggie white, and Donavan Mcnabb. Philly is done.
Week 9 Picks:
Cincinnati -3.5
Tennessee +2.5
Jacksonville -13.5
Kansas City -4.5
Minnesota +1.5
New York J. +6.5
Carolina -1.5
New Orleans +2.5
Atlanta -2.5
Arizona +4.5
San Francisco +10.5
Green Bay +6.5
Washington -2.5
New England +3.5
GL Chris…
Seahawks 6 and 2, this is amazing. I wish I could see the games in Vegas without having to go to a casino.